IntelCountry ProfileGuinea-Bissau

Guinea-Bissau

Africa/ Western AfricaBissau2.0M

Capital

Bissau

GDP (USD)

N/A

Government

N/A

Head of State

N/A

Key Drivers

No key drivers identified.

Recent Intelligence

7

HIGHSEV 78·conflict

Ukraine and Russia escalate with drones and port strikes—who pays the price next?

Zaporizhzhia residential buildingMoscow region drone attackDomodedovo hospitalYuzhnye Vorota logistics complex

ELEVATEDSEV 72·security

Nigeria’s security overhaul, arrests threats, and prison strikes—what’s next for West Africa’s stability?

Anambra traditional rulersElectoral Act reviewprison officers industrial actionOperation Hadin Kai

ELEVATEDSEV 62·diplomacy

Russia and China court Serbia and Central Asia—while AI diplomacy and Russia-Africa outreach accelerate

Serbia transport hubEurasian transport corridorsWorld Organization for AI CooperationDmitry Grigorenko

ELEVATEDSEV 62·political

Nigeria’s Plateau turns tense after Mangu killings—while Rivers roads and Ogun party defections reshape the political map

Mangu killingsCaleb MutfwangAngwa RukubaElele-Egbeda-Omoku Road

ELEVATEDSEV 62·security

Nigeria moves troops on two fronts—kidnap rescues at home and ECOWAS peace deployment abroad

ISWAP informantOperation HADIN KAITheatre Command Operation Lafiya Dolekidnap victims rescued

ELEVATEDSEV 58·security

China vs. the U.S. races for Africa’s “hearts and minds” as Iran’s security picture tightens

information warAfrica Defence Forum magazineUnited States Army Africa CommandChina

GUARDEDSEV 42·diplomacy

France and Algeria move from diplomatic freeze to prisoner talks—what’s really changing?

Gérald DarmaninChristophe GleizesAlgeriaAbdelmadjid Tebboune