Intelrift Geoeconomic Index· Edition 1 · Q4 2026
Kosovo
36.3
Comparable countries
- CambodiaIGE 38.1 · distance 3.1
- IsraelIGE 31.5 · distance 3.3
- AzerbaijanIGE 39.6 · distance 3.4
- Bosnia & HerzegovinaIGE 34.2 · distance 3.5
Nearest in the five-dimensional sub-index space (euclidean distance over shared dimensions).
What would move the score
- Chokepointsinsufficient data
- Sanctions±4.5 points
- Commodity concentrationinsufficient data
- Institutional fragility±2.7 points
- Sovereign stress±2.7 points
Change in the IGE if one sub-index moved by 10 points, with this country's effective weights.
Sub-indices against the regional and global mean
CountryRegional meanGlobal mean
Source: Intelrift, IGE. Simple means of covered countries.Data through 19 October 2026
History by edition
Hollow points are retrospectives: past years computed with the current method, without newsroom events and with the current snapshot of the sanctions lists.
Source: Intelrift, IGEData through 19 October 2026
Key factors
What drives the score
- Political and security events (90 days): 77 (2026), risk percentile 77.source
- Exposure to sanctioned partners: 43.4 (2023), risk percentile 75.source
- Current account balance: -8.1 % of GDP (2025), risk percentile 67.source
- Control of corruption (WGI): 42.8 (2025), risk percentile 62.source
- Insufficient data for: chokepoints, commodity concentration.
Each factor comes from a sourced, dated input; the percentile says where the country sits among those covered.
How it is calculated
Weights, coverage and provenance
3 of 5 sub-indices available · ige-v1
Provenance hash
SHA-256 of the canonical JSON of the inputs, their sources and periods, the winsorisation bounds and the weights. Same inputs, same hash.
Sub-index inputs
Chokepoints · insufficient data
How much of the country's GDP depends on six maritime passages (Hormuz, Suez, Malacca, Bab el-Mandeb, Panama, Bosphorus) staying open, plus its imported-energy dependence, logistics performance and whether it is landlocked.
| Exposure to the main chokepoint | insufficient data |
| Total chokepoint exposure | insufficient data |
| Net energy import dependence | insufficient data |
| Fuel share of imports | insufficient data |
| Landlocked (transit dependence) (2026) | no · percentile 0 |
| Logistics performance (LPI) | insufficient data |
Sanctions · 32.7
Whether the jurisdiction is under a sanctions regime (and how intense), how many people and entities linked to the country appear on the OFAC, EU, UN and UK lists, how many on US export-control lists, and how much it trades with sanctioned partners.
| Jurisdiction-level sanctions regime (2026) | targeted regime · percentile 30 |
| Designations linked to the country (2026) | 41 · percentile 59 |
| Designations under country programmes (2026) | 0 · percentile 0 |
| Entities under US export controls (2026) | 0 · percentile 0 |
| Exposure to sanctioned partners (2023) | 43.4 · percentile 75 |
Commodity concentration · insufficient data
Concentration of exports and imports by product group (Herfindahl index), fuel and food share of imports, natural resource rents over GDP and terms-of-trade volatility.
| Export concentration (HHI) | insufficient data |
| Import concentration (HHI) | insufficient data |
| Fuel and food share of imports | insufficient data |
| Natural resource rents (2021) | 0.9 % of GDP · percentile 3 |
| Terms-of-trade volatility | insufficient data |
Institutional fragility · 49.0
Rule of law, political stability, government effectiveness and control of corruption (WGI), the INFORM index, battle deaths, homicides and new conflict displacements per capita, and the quarter's political and security events recorded by Intelrift.
| Rule of law (WGI) (2025) | 60.4 · percentile 46 |
| Political stability and absence of violence (WGI) (2025) | 62.5 · percentile 47 |
| Government effectiveness (WGI) (2025) | 49.9 · percentile 57 |
| Control of corruption (WGI) (2025) | 42.8 · percentile 62 |
| INFORM risk index | insufficient data |
| Battle-related deaths per 100,000 people | insufficient data |
| Intentional homicides per 100,000 people (2021) | 1.89 · percentile 5 |
| New conflict displacements per 1,000 people | insufficient data |
| Political and security events (90 days) (2026) | 77 · percentile 77 |
| Terror and narco incidents (90 days) (2026) | insufficient data |
Sovereign stress · 29.6
Reserves in months of imports, current account balance, inflation, depreciation against the dollar, external debt and its service, short-term debt over reserves, broad money over reserves, interest over revenue and Intelrift's daily country risk.
| Reserves in months of imports | not applicable |
| Current account balance (2025) | -8.1 % of GDP · percentile 67 |
| Annual inflation (2025) | 3.9 % · percentile 15 |
| Annual depreciation against the dollar (2025) | -4 % · percentile 14 |
| External debt to GNI (2024) | 38.6 % · percentile 25 |
| Debt service to exports (2024) | 7.2 % · percentile 11 |
| Short-term debt to reserves | not applicable |
| Broad money to reserves | not applicable |
| Interest payments to revenue | insufficient data |
| Intelrift daily country risk (2026) | 26 · percentile 46 |